Race 9A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 15.2% 16.6% 16.0% 12.3% 13.1% 10.4% 7.3% 4.2% 3.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sydney Bolger 33.9% 24.3% 17.4% 11.2% 6.0% 3.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 10.7% 14.0% 14.7% 13.5% 13.2% 10.8% 9.4% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Chantal Hearst 1.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 4.1% 7.1% 9.8% 15.7% 23.7% 26.4%
Corina Radtke 6.2% 7.7% 9.1% 11.7% 9.5% 9.3% 12.7% 11.6% 9.2% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Lauren Turner 11.2% 11.5% 11.8% 12.6% 14.1% 11.4% 9.7% 7.9% 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 3.8% 2.5% 5.3% 5.9% 5.3% 6.9% 8.9% 10.4% 12.3% 14.1% 12.6% 9.6% 2.4%
Julia Paxton 5.1% 6.3% 6.4% 8.5% 8.1% 11.3% 11.6% 13.4% 11.2% 9.0% 5.6% 2.5% 1.0%
Mia Cooper 2.7% 4.2% 3.9% 4.4% 7.0% 6.9% 8.6% 10.7% 14.1% 13.1% 13.6% 7.2% 3.6%
Arielle DeLisser 6.6% 8.4% 7.7% 10.4% 11.7% 13.3% 11.2% 9.7% 8.6% 6.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Mackenzie Needham 1.8% 2.2% 4.1% 5.2% 5.7% 7.7% 8.9% 11.0% 11.7% 14.5% 12.3% 10.4% 4.5%
Noel Ingalls 0.8% 0.6% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 3.4% 3.2% 5.5% 6.6% 9.1% 14.7% 22.6% 28.1%
Lucy Cobbs 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 2.2% 1.6% 3.2% 3.6% 6.9% 10.0% 15.2% 20.3% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.