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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.24vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66-0.67vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-1.53-0.56vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-2.71+0.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24-1.61vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-2.80-1.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.61-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76SUNY Maritime College-0.060.5%1st Place
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2.33American University-0.660.3%1st Place
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3.44Columbia University-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.03Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.1%1st Place
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5.09SUNY Stony Brook-2.800.0%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barker | 51.8% | 29.0% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Miles White | 26.8% | 35.2% | 22.6% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 9.8% | 17.2% | 27.1% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Emily Amspacher | 1.8% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 28.3% | 16.7% |
| Alden Hughes | 5.0% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 24.0% | 17.6% | 8.2% |
| Ella Musso | 3.2% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 26.8% | 20.0% |
| Sean Warwick | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.