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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.80vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66-0.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24+0.39vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-1.53-1.60vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-2.80-0.89vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.71-2.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.61-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8SUNY Maritime College-0.060.5%1st Place
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2.37American University-0.660.3%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.1%1st Place
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3.4Columbia University-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.11SUNY Stony Brook-2.800.0%1st Place
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4.99Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barker | 50.0% | 28.8% | 14.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Miles White | 25.9% | 35.3% | 21.6% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Hughes | 6.0% | 6.7% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 23.4% | 18.0% | 8.7% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 10.8% | 16.5% | 27.4% | 21.9% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Ella Musso | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 28.1% | 19.9% |
| Emily Amspacher | 3.1% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 25.7% | 17.5% |
| Sean Warwick | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.