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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-1.53+2.29vs Predicted
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2American University-0.85+0.38vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-1.03-1.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24-0.58vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-1.75vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.71-1.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.61-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Columbia University-1.530.2%1st Place
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2.38American University-0.850.3%1st Place
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2.59SUNY Maritime College-1.030.3%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.1%1st Place
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4.25SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
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5.07Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vincenti | 18.0% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Lorson | 32.3% | 27.6% | 20.9% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Embry | 27.8% | 26.2% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Alden Hughes | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 22.8% | 21.9% | 9.2% |
| Sophia Dimont | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 8.1% |
| Emily Amspacher | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 28.5% | 20.9% |
| Sean Warwick | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.