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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+2.10vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85-0.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24+0.38vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-1.53-1.63vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-1.03-3.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.61-0.86vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-2.71-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
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2.39American University-0.850.3%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.1%1st Place
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3.37Columbia University-1.530.2%1st Place
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2.66SUNY Maritime College-1.030.3%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.610.0%1st Place
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4.96Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Dimont | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 8.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 33.6% | 25.9% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Alden Hughes | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 23.9% | 20.8% | 9.1% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 16.1% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 19.3% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Embry | 26.2% | 26.0% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Sean Warwick | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 61.1% |
| Emily Amspacher | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 31.9% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.