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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.03+0.62vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85-0.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24+0.38vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-1.53-1.66vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.71-0.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.61-0.87vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62SUNY Maritime College-1.030.3%1st Place
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2.39American University-0.850.3%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.1%1st Place
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3.34Columbia University-1.530.2%1st Place
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5.08Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.610.0%1st Place
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4.07SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Embry | 28.4% | 26.4% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Lorson | 31.7% | 29.2% | 19.3% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Alden Hughes | 7.9% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 9.8% |
| Alexander Vincenti | 15.8% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.0% |
| Emily Amspacher | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 29.9% | 20.3% |
| Sean Warwick | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 60.8% |
| Sophia Dimont | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 22.8% | 17.3% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.