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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.06+0.96vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology-1.50+0.90vs Predicted
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4American University-0.85-1.09vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-2.39+0.35vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-1.52-2.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.61-0.05vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-2.71-2.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96SUNY Maritime College-0.060.5%1st Place
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3.9Stevens Institute of Technology-1.500.1%1st Place
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2.91American University-0.850.2%1st Place
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5.35SUNY Stony Brook-2.390.0%1st Place
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3.97Columbia University-1.520.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.610.0%1st Place
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5.9Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barker | 47.4% | 27.5% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Oscar McMahan | 10.8% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Brooke Lorson | 20.3% | 23.9% | 24.1% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 23.2% | 11.0% |
| Maxwell Read | 9.5% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Sean Warwick | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 55.1% |
| Emily Amspacher | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 26.0% | 22.6% |
| Alden Hughes | 3.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.