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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.11vs Predicted
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3American University-0.85-0.14vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-1.52-0.13vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-2.39+0.24vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-1.92-1.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.24-2.03vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-2.71-2.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.61-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89SUNY Maritime College-0.060.5%1st Place
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2.86American University-0.850.2%1st Place
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3.87Columbia University-1.520.1%1st Place
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5.24SUNY Stony Brook-2.390.0%1st Place
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4.46Stevens Institute of Technology-1.920.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-2.240.1%1st Place
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5.79Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barker | 48.5% | 27.8% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 20.5% | 26.2% | 23.1% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Read | 10.3% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 10.9% |
| Ty Mazzga | 6.3% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 3.5% |
| Alden Hughes | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 8.5% |
| Emily Amspacher | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 23.6% | 21.2% |
| Sean Warwick | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 20.1% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.