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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.63+0.97vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.53+1.55vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.80+1.00vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.30-0.77vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.44-0.03vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02-1.09vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-3.32-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Columbia University0.630.5%1st Place
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3.55University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.0Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.23SUNY Maritime College-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.97Princeton University-1.440.1%1st Place
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5.06American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.31William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 46.8% | 26.9% | 15.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 13.1% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Nikita Troast | 16.1% | 21.7% | 21.0% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 6.9% |
| Seton Dill | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 19.9% | 31.7% | 16.8% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 15.6% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.