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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.63+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.53+1.55vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.30+0.23vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.44+1.02vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.80-1.04vs Predicted
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6American University-1.49-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02-1.10vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-3.32-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Columbia University0.630.5%1st Place
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3.55University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.23SUNY Maritime College-0.300.2%1st Place
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5.02Princeton University-1.440.1%1st Place
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3.96Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.05American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.32William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 46.2% | 27.9% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 13.0% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Nikita Troast | 17.3% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 6.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 9.3% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 5.9% |
| Seton Dill | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 31.8% | 16.8% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 16.3% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.