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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.63+0.97vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.53+1.57vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.30+0.21vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.80+0.02vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.12vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.44-1.04vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-3.32+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Columbia University0.630.5%1st Place
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3.57University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.21SUNY Maritime College-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.02Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.12American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.96Princeton University-1.440.1%1st Place
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7.32William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 46.8% | 26.7% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 12.8% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Nikita Troast | 16.8% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 9.6% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 6.9% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 6.0% | 5.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 5.7% |
| Julia Larmee | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 71.6% |
| Seton Dill | 2.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 31.4% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.