Race 10A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Corina Radtke 6.1% 7.7% 9.2% 8.0% 11.1% 11.5% 12.5% 11.4% 10.3% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Mary Hall 15.3% 16.1% 16.3% 13.5% 13.1% 9.8% 6.4% 5.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Lauren Turner 8.0% 13.2% 11.9% 12.9% 13.0% 12.3% 10.2% 8.9% 5.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Julia Paxton 4.3% 5.6% 6.5% 9.7% 8.8% 10.1% 11.8% 11.5% 10.9% 10.6% 6.1% 3.6% 0.5%
Melissa Bermudez 3.0% 3.2% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% 8.3% 9.0% 10.0% 12.5% 12.2% 13.9% 8.0% 3.1%
Sydney Bolger 35.0% 24.7% 13.8% 12.8% 6.3% 3.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 8.4% 7.0% 9.9% 8.9% 11.2% 11.8% 11.9% 10.4% 9.7% 6.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Mia Cooper 2.6% 4.3% 4.6% 4.9% 5.2% 8.1% 9.0% 10.3% 13.1% 15.6% 11.2% 8.2% 2.9%
Chantal Hearst 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 6.3% 9.2% 15.4% 22.0% 29.2%
Kayla McComb 12.6% 13.7% 15.1% 13.3% 11.6% 9.8% 9.2% 5.9% 4.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Mackenzie Needham 1.8% 2.4% 4.4% 4.9% 6.6% 6.9% 7.9% 12.2% 11.6% 13.8% 15.1% 8.0% 4.4%
Lucy Cobbs 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.5% 2.8% 2.1% 3.2% 4.3% 6.8% 8.2% 14.2% 21.2% 33.6%
Noel Ingalls 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.5% 2.7% 3.4% 4.4% 6.9% 10.6% 14.7% 25.4% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.