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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.63+0.97vs Predicted
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2American University-1.49+3.10vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.80+0.95vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.44+1.04vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.30-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.53-2.45vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-3.32+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Columbia University0.630.5%1st Place
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5.1American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.95Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.04Princeton University-1.440.1%1st Place
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3.19SUNY Maritime College-0.300.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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7.34William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 46.3% | 27.0% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 5.8% |
| Imogene Nuss | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 21.1% | 5.1% |
| Nikita Troast | 15.3% | 22.5% | 23.6% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Grigg | 14.3% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 72.6% |
| Seton Dill | 2.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 31.1% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.