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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.30+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.53+1.58vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+2.08vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.63-1.99vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.80-1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-0.15vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.44-1.98vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-3.32-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14SUNY Maritime College-0.300.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.08American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.01Columbia University0.630.4%1st Place
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4.0Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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5.02Princeton University-1.440.1%1st Place
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7.32William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Troast | 18.6% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Grigg | 13.0% | 17.0% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 23.6% | 19.5% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 43.7% | 28.2% | 17.2% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 10.2% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Seton Dill | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 32.6% | 15.5% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 6.2% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 15.3% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.