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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.63+0.97vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.30+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.53+0.57vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.80+0.02vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+0.07vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.44-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02-1.11vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-3.32-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97Columbia University0.630.5%1st Place
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3.23SUNY Maritime College-0.300.2%1st Place
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3.57University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.02Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.07American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.93Princeton University-1.440.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.31William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Frost | 46.4% | 26.9% | 15.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Troast | 16.8% | 21.1% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Grigg | 13.5% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 8.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Arey | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 22.8% | 19.0% | 5.7% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 5.9% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 6.1% |
| Seton Dill | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 32.1% | 16.8% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 15.5% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.