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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.30+2.16vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+0.03vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.53-0.43vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.80-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-0.15vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.44-1.99vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-3.32-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16SUNY Maritime College-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.03Columbia University0.630.4%1st Place
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5.07American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.57University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.99Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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5.01Princeton University-1.440.1%1st Place
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7.32William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Troast | 17.8% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 43.0% | 28.4% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 6.9% |
| Sophie Grigg | 14.1% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Imogene Nuss | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Seton Dill | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 32.4% | 15.3% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 20.8% | 18.7% | 6.3% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 15.7% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.