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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.80+2.91vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+0.04vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+2.05vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.44+1.04vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.30-1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.53-2.44vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.02-1.13vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-3.32-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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2.04Columbia University0.630.4%1st Place
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5.05American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.04Princeton University-1.440.1%1st Place
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3.2SUNY Maritime College-0.300.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Maryland-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Delaware-2.020.0%1st Place
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7.32William and Mary-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imogene Nuss | 11.4% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 43.5% | 27.4% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 22.4% | 19.6% | 6.0% |
| Ella Gonzalez | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 18.8% | 6.5% |
| Nikita Troast | 17.1% | 21.3% | 22.4% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Grigg | 13.4% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Seton Dill | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 34.4% | 15.6% |
| Julia Larmee | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 14.8% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.