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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.43vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-3.05+3.69vs Predicted
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3Washington College-2.49+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.85+1.42vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-1.07-2.29vs Predicted
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6American University-2.70-0.91vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-2.24-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-3.64-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
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5.69William and Mary-3.050.0%1st Place
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4.74Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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2.71SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
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5.09American University-2.700.0%1st Place
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4.41Princeton University-2.240.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Delaware-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 67.7% | 23.8% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxine Hall | 2.0% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 21.4% | 20.3% |
| Rachel Morgen | 4.1% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 6.8% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.5% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 15.3% |
| Grace Wilson | 15.1% | 36.1% | 25.6% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Leyla Abarca-Gresh | 3.0% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% |
| Gwendolyn Lawrence | 4.9% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Savannah McMullen | 0.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.