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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.43vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.74vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-2.24+1.35vs Predicted
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4American University-2.70+1.16vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-3.05+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.85-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-3.64-0.44vs Predicted
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8Washington College-2.49-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
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2.74SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
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4.35Princeton University-2.240.1%1st Place
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5.16American University-2.700.0%1st Place
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5.71William and Mary-3.050.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Delaware-3.640.0%1st Place
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4.72Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 68.5% | 22.4% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wilson | 15.2% | 34.7% | 25.1% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gwendolyn Lawrence | 5.2% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Leyla Abarca-Gresh | 2.6% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 11.7% |
| Maxine Hall | 1.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 23.6% | 18.2% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.9% | 5.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 14.8% |
| Savannah McMullen | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 19.7% | 44.4% |
| Rachel Morgen | 2.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.