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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.46vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.80vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-1.88+0.89vs Predicted
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4Washington College-2.49+0.91vs Predicted
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5American University-2.70+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.85-0.61vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-3.05-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-3.64-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
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2.8SUNY Maritime College-1.070.1%1st Place
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3.89Princeton University-1.880.1%1st Place
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4.91Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.21American University-2.700.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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5.79William and Mary-3.050.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Delaware-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 66.8% | 23.1% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wilson | 14.8% | 32.7% | 26.3% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Hammond | 7.1% | 15.1% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Morgen | 2.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 7.9% |
| Leyla Abarca-Gresh | 2.8% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.9% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.5% |
| Maxine Hall | 2.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 23.0% |
| Savannah McMullen | 0.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 23.4% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.