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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.45vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.81vs Predicted
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3Washington College-2.49+1.87vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-3.64+2.61vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.88-1.09vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-3.05-0.27vs Predicted
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7American University-2.70-1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-2.85-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
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2.81SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
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4.87Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Delaware-3.640.0%1st Place
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3.91Princeton University-1.880.1%1st Place
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5.73William and Mary-3.050.0%1st Place
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5.23American University-2.700.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 66.5% | 24.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wilson | 15.2% | 31.8% | 26.6% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Morgen | 4.1% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 7.6% |
| Savannah McMullen | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 44.8% |
| Maggie Hammond | 6.7% | 14.6% | 22.3% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Maxine Hall | 2.1% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 20.5% |
| Leyla Abarca-Gresh | 3.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 11.5% |
| Caroline Fuller | 1.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.