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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.43vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.74vs Predicted
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3American University-2.70+2.11vs Predicted
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4Washington College-2.49+0.82vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-2.24-0.65vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-3.05-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.85-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-3.64-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
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2.74SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
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5.11American University-2.700.0%1st Place
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4.82Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
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4.35Princeton University-2.240.0%1st Place
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5.67William and Mary-3.050.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Delaware-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 67.7% | 23.6% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wilson | 15.4% | 34.3% | 26.3% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leyla Abarca-Gresh | 3.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 11.7% |
| Rachel Morgen | 2.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 7.7% |
| Gwendolyn Lawrence | 4.9% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Maxine Hall | 2.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 21.1% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 16.2% |
| Savannah McMullen | 0.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.