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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.16+0.75vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.06+0.04vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17-0.93vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-0.86-0.46vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.55-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Jacksonville University0.7040.3%1st Place
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2.75University of South Florida0.1621.1%1st Place
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3.04Rollins College-0.0617.0%1st Place
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3.07Eckerd College-0.1716.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Florida-0.864.3%1st Place
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5.51Florida State University-2.551.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 40.3% | 28.5% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 21.1% | 23.8% | 25.4% | 19.7% | 8.6% | 1.5% |
| KA Hamner | 17.0% | 19.8% | 23.5% | 23.9% | 13.5% | 2.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 16.1% | 20.8% | 21.8% | 24.6% | 14.6% | 2.2% |
| Ava Moring | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 44.3% | 21.1% |
| Olivia Figley | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 15.9% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.