Race 11A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sydney Bolger 33.4% 23.4% 17.1% 11.2% 8.7% 2.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 11.9% 12.9% 15.5% 14.2% 12.8% 10.5% 8.9% 6.3% 3.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 2.9% 2.3% 3.4% 5.0% 6.3% 7.1% 10.4% 10.1% 12.9% 14.7% 12.4% 9.3% 3.2%
Corina Radtke 6.0% 7.3% 8.4% 11.8% 10.0% 11.0% 11.5% 10.4% 9.9% 7.5% 4.5% 1.1% 0.6%
Mia Cooper 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 7.7% 7.8% 8.9% 9.2% 12.4% 14.9% 12.5% 7.5% 2.6%
Arielle DeLisser 7.0% 8.8% 8.9% 10.2% 10.2% 12.4% 12.2% 9.7% 8.8% 5.8% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Lauren Turner 10.8% 13.0% 12.4% 11.4% 12.1% 14.4% 8.0% 8.6% 5.0% 2.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Julia Paxton 4.5% 6.6% 8.1% 6.8% 8.7% 10.7% 11.9% 13.5% 11.4% 7.7% 6.5% 2.8% 0.8%
Mary Hall 14.9% 16.6% 14.3% 16.4% 11.5% 9.1% 6.7% 5.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Mackenzie Needham 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 4.5% 4.7% 6.7% 8.9% 9.9% 13.0% 13.4% 14.1% 10.3% 5.4%
Noel Ingalls 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 3.0% 3.0% 4.5% 6.1% 7.9% 10.4% 14.8% 23.1% 23.1%
Chantal Hearst 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 3.9% 5.7% 5.8% 8.9% 13.3% 23.1% 30.7%
Lucy Cobbs 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 2.7% 2.0% 2.4% 4.3% 5.3% 10.9% 13.8% 21.3% 33.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.