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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.43vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.75vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-2.24+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.85+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-3.64+1.56vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-3.05-0.35vs Predicted
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7Washington College-2.49-2.19vs Predicted
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8American University-2.70-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
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2.75SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
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4.36Princeton University-2.240.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Delaware-3.640.0%1st Place
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5.65William and Mary-3.050.0%1st Place
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4.81Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.04American University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 68.6% | 22.3% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wilson | 15.1% | 34.8% | 26.0% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gwendolyn Lawrence | 5.0% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 15.3% |
| Savannah McMullen | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 44.0% |
| Maxine Hall | 2.2% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 20.0% |
| Rachel Morgen | 3.9% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 7.4% |
| Leyla Abarca-Gresh | 2.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.