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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.45vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.81vs Predicted
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3Washington College-2.49+1.84vs Predicted
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4American University-2.70+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-2.85+0.44vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.88-2.11vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-3.05-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-3.64-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
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2.81SUNY Maritime College-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.84Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.23American University-2.700.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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3.89Princeton University-1.880.1%1st Place
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5.8William and Mary-3.050.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Delaware-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 66.4% | 24.6% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wilson | 14.8% | 32.3% | 26.9% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Morgen | 4.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 7.9% |
| Leyla Abarca-Gresh | 2.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 11.8% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 14.8% |
| Maggie Hammond | 6.2% | 14.9% | 24.0% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Maxine Hall | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 22.3% |
| Savannah McMullen | 0.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 21.7% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.