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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+0.45vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.07+0.82vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-1.88+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-3.64+2.60vs Predicted
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5Washington College-2.49-0.14vs Predicted
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6American University-2.70-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.85-1.50vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-3.05-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Columbia University0.450.7%1st Place
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2.82SUNY Maritime College-1.070.2%1st Place
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3.91Princeton University-1.880.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Delaware-3.640.0%1st Place
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4.86Washington College-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.19American University-2.700.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Maryland-2.850.0%1st Place
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5.68William and Mary-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 66.5% | 24.8% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wilson | 15.1% | 32.1% | 26.1% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Hammond | 7.3% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Savannah McMullen | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 45.8% |
| Rachel Morgen | 3.2% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 6.3% |
| Leyla Abarca-Gresh | 3.3% | 5.1% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 12.4% |
| Caroline Fuller | 2.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 15.7% |
| Maxine Hall | 1.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 22.3% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.