Race 1A

salt-pond-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jakub Fuja 12.7% 16.3% 13.7% 15.1% 14.6% 13.3% 7.4% 4.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Edward Herman 26.8% 21.6% 16.7% 13.4% 10.6% 6.2% 2.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Leonardo Burnham 11.8% 13.1% 14.4% 11.7% 14.5% 13.0% 10.6% 7.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Gavin Morris 16.7% 14.5% 15.9% 15.2% 12.8% 10.4% 8.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Jaxon Hottinger 4.8% 6.6% 6.4% 7.7% 9.8% 9.8% 14.7% 18.3% 12.8% 7.8% 1.3%
Pierson Falk 9.4% 9.6% 11.1% 12.9% 13.0% 11.4% 13.5% 10.5% 6.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Jett Lindelof 10.6% 9.3% 12.1% 11.9% 11.9% 15.3% 11.9% 9.4% 5.7% 1.3% 0.6%
Joseph Cataldo 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 5.6% 6.8% 12.8% 19.7% 29.1% 16.1%
cole capizzo 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 7.9% 10.6% 22.2% 29.4% 13.8%
Noe Portelance 3.3% 4.5% 4.8% 6.2% 6.1% 10.0% 13.5% 17.3% 18.8% 12.9% 2.6%
Will Sugerman 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 7.9% 16.3% 65.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.