Race 2A

salt-pond-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Leonardo Burnham 11.3% 13.2% 13.5% 14.5% 15.5% 12.5% 9.9% 6.2% 3.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Gavin Morris 17.6% 16.3% 15.9% 15.2% 12.1% 9.4% 7.9% 4.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Herman 22.9% 23.0% 17.6% 12.8% 11.1% 6.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jett Lindelof 8.7% 9.1% 7.9% 12.2% 12.0% 16.1% 12.3% 12.3% 7.1% 2.1% 0.2%
Jakub Fuja 15.8% 15.5% 16.0% 12.5% 12.9% 9.9% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Noe Portelance 3.0% 4.2% 4.6% 4.5% 7.6% 8.3% 12.6% 18.9% 18.3% 13.8% 4.2%
Pierson Falk 10.8% 10.5% 11.4% 13.7% 11.7% 12.7% 13.3% 8.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Jaxon Hottinger 6.0% 4.7% 7.4% 8.5% 9.8% 13.9% 14.0% 13.9% 14.0% 7.0% 0.8%
Joseph Cataldo 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 6.5% 11.3% 20.6% 30.4% 17.0%
cole capizzo 1.9% 1.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.4% 5.8% 7.2% 13.7% 20.6% 28.5% 11.5%
Will Sugerman 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 3.8% 7.5% 15.2% 65.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.