Race 3A

salt-pond-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Leonardo Burnham 10.9% 13.8% 13.5% 14.7% 14.7% 13.2% 9.9% 6.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Jakub Fuja 15.7% 14.4% 16.3% 12.8% 13.6% 12.3% 8.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
cole capizzo 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 4.4% 5.9% 12.4% 21.6% 28.1% 15.5%
Edward Herman 23.9% 20.9% 17.5% 15.8% 9.4% 6.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Pierson Falk 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 11.4% 12.5% 13.0% 13.6% 11.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.0%
Gavin Morris 17.3% 16.7% 15.9% 14.2% 12.9% 8.6% 8.2% 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Noe Portelance 4.0% 4.9% 3.7% 5.7% 8.4% 8.9% 11.8% 20.2% 17.3% 11.5% 3.6%
Joseph Cataldo 1.7% 1.4% 1.7% 3.3% 2.3% 4.8% 7.0% 10.5% 21.5% 30.1% 15.7%
Jett Lindelof 8.7% 8.2% 12.3% 11.5% 11.8% 14.6% 14.1% 9.8% 5.5% 3.0% 0.5%
Jaxon Hottinger 5.6% 6.6% 6.5% 7.9% 9.4% 12.5% 14.3% 15.5% 14.4% 5.8% 1.5%
Will Sugerman 0.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.9% 3.7% 8.1% 17.5% 63.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.