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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-0.12+6.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.82+1.24vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.78+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80+1.55vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.41-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.62+3.00vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.20-0.04vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.29-3.69vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.20-0.92vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.15-5.33vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-1.45vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.06-1.89vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-2.22-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.24Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.64Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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4.04Roger Williams University1.410.2%1st Place
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9.0University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island0.200.1%1st Place
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4.31Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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8.08McGill University-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.11University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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12.0Sacred Heart University-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jane Matthews | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Edward Herman | 24.2% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jett Lindelof | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Morris | 17.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Treat | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 4.9% |
| Jaxon Hottinger | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Jakub Fuja | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noe Portelance | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| cole capizzo | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 9.5% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 27.0% | 15.2% |
| Will Sugerman | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.