Race 1B

salt-pond-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Finneas Coldreck 13.2% 14.7% 15.5% 20.2% 18.0% 12.7% 4.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Jacob Lentz 6.4% 9.4% 15.0% 15.5% 21.1% 21.6% 8.8% 2.2% 0.0%
Dominique Spinola 23.8% 23.4% 21.1% 16.8% 8.7% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Gaillard 14.7% 15.9% 18.7% 19.3% 16.3% 11.7% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Ludwik Grzelak 34.7% 26.4% 15.7% 10.8% 8.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Harrison Nash 5.4% 6.9% 9.9% 11.9% 18.6% 29.0% 15.2% 2.9% 0.2%
Jack Tresh 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 5.5% 9.9% 43.1% 25.7% 7.1%
Rachel Weiss 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 4.5% 14.3% 41.7% 33.8%
Caige Kaessinger 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 2.5% 9.0% 26.1% 58.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.