Race 2B

salt-pond-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Finneas Coldreck 13.5% 14.4% 16.0% 19.3% 18.8% 12.7% 4.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Ludwik Grzelak 27.4% 26.6% 19.2% 14.1% 8.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Gaillard 14.8% 13.7% 17.3% 17.9% 18.3% 14.3% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Dominique Spinola 27.1% 23.0% 19.8% 15.0% 10.2% 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Lentz 8.4% 13.2% 14.7% 15.8% 19.3% 18.8% 7.3% 2.3% 0.2%
Harrison Nash 6.4% 5.9% 9.8% 11.9% 17.8% 30.0% 15.0% 3.0% 0.2%
Jack Tresh 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 3.9% 4.0% 11.0% 44.2% 24.6% 7.1%
Caige Kaessinger 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.5% 2.4% 9.4% 26.4% 58.4%
Rachel Weiss 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 3.3% 15.2% 42.1% 34.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.