Race 3B

salt-pond-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jacob Lentz 9.5% 10.7% 12.2% 16.1% 19.3% 21.4% 9.0% 1.7% 0.1%
Dominique Spinola 22.6% 22.0% 20.1% 18.1% 10.1% 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Ludwik Grzelak 31.8% 25.8% 17.9% 13.5% 8.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Tresh 1.2% 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 5.9% 12.4% 42.4% 23.2% 6.7%
Harrison Nash 6.2% 8.1% 10.5% 11.9% 15.9% 26.9% 15.5% 4.5% 0.5%
Emily Gaillard 14.2% 16.3% 17.1% 18.4% 17.7% 12.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Finneas Coldreck 13.5% 14.1% 17.0% 17.0% 20.2% 13.3% 4.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Rachel Weiss 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 0.8% 1.9% 3.8% 14.7% 42.5% 33.7%
Caige Kaessinger 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 2.6% 8.3% 26.5% 59.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.