Race 12A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sydney Bolger 32.2% 25.4% 17.0% 11.1% 7.1% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 6.7% 6.9% 9.6% 9.0% 13.0% 11.9% 10.9% 11.6% 8.3% 6.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Lauren Turner 9.6% 11.7% 12.9% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% 10.6% 7.4% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Mary Hall 16.0% 15.4% 16.0% 15.3% 10.9% 9.9% 7.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Kayla McComb 13.1% 14.0% 13.5% 13.4% 11.9% 12.8% 8.4% 5.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 2.7% 4.4% 3.7% 4.3% 5.2% 9.1% 8.4% 10.2% 13.9% 13.8% 12.2% 8.4% 3.7%
Mackenzie Needham 3.4% 3.3% 2.8% 5.2% 6.4% 5.7% 6.1% 9.8% 12.1% 15.4% 14.8% 10.9% 4.1%
Julia Paxton 5.2% 6.8% 5.8% 8.8% 7.8% 9.6% 13.6% 14.0% 10.2% 9.4% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Corina Radtke 6.3% 6.8% 8.0% 9.3% 11.1% 11.7% 11.7% 11.2% 9.7% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
Chantal Hearst 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.4% 6.8% 9.5% 14.9% 22.6% 27.9%
Mia Cooper 2.5% 2.9% 5.9% 6.0% 7.6% 6.3% 10.4% 10.7% 13.6% 12.2% 12.7% 6.4% 2.8%
Lucy Cobbs 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 3.4% 5.1% 5.9% 8.9% 12.9% 22.9% 32.8%
Noel Ingalls 0.9% 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.2% 3.7% 4.3% 7.1% 9.9% 16.5% 22.6% 27.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.