Race 4B

salt-pond-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ludwik Grzelak 32.0% 24.3% 16.7% 12.2% 8.7% 3.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Dominique Spinola 23.8% 23.6% 16.9% 15.3% 11.3% 5.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Finneas Coldreck 12.1% 11.8% 15.7% 15.4% 19.1% 13.4% 9.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Harrison Nash 4.0% 6.4% 9.9% 11.6% 13.1% 17.9% 23.5% 11.2% 2.2% 0.2%
Emily Gaillard 13.5% 15.4% 16.3% 18.5% 12.9% 12.9% 7.8% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Tresh 1.7% 1.8% 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 6.8% 11.2% 37.5% 25.4% 6.2%
Jacob Lentz 7.3% 10.7% 12.7% 13.1% 16.7% 18.1% 14.0% 6.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Michael Cunniff 4.8% 5.4% 8.1% 9.8% 12.1% 18.1% 21.1% 16.2% 3.9% 0.5%
Rachel Weiss 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 4.4% 12.9% 41.9% 34.4%
Caige Kaessinger 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 3.0% 10.1% 24.9% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.