Race 2A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Riley Donahue 13.7% 13.0% 12.8% 14.6% 11.6% 10.8% 9.2% 7.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Cole Amaral 17.6% 15.7% 14.5% 11.8% 12.5% 9.9% 7.9% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Georgia Green 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 2.0% 1.8% 3.1% 2.8% 5.9% 11.0% 38.2% 30.7%
Noah Reischmann 12.8% 13.2% 13.2% 12.3% 12.8% 10.5% 8.6% 6.9% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Hannah Hills 2.7% 3.4% 3.0% 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 9.3% 10.6% 11.7% 24.0% 15.7% 4.6%
Elliot Condon 6.6% 5.7% 6.4% 7.5% 7.4% 9.0% 10.0% 12.8% 16.0% 11.9% 5.9% 0.8%
Toby Clarkson 13.1% 13.5% 12.9% 11.8% 9.8% 11.4% 9.4% 7.6% 7.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Charlie Conover 12.5% 12.1% 12.0% 9.2% 11.3% 9.5% 9.9% 10.4% 6.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Vaughn Levinsky 3.4% 4.9% 5.7% 6.7% 7.8% 9.2% 10.5% 13.3% 14.5% 15.6% 8.1% 0.3%
Shea McGrath 10.8% 10.5% 10.4% 11.2% 10.6% 11.3% 10.8% 10.3% 8.2% 4.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Kique Ruiz 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 8.3% 8.9% 10.2% 9.6% 11.6% 13.9% 13.6% 4.3% 0.6%
Sammy Weidenthal 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 6.0% 22.3% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.