Race 3A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Riley Donahue 14.6% 12.6% 12.8% 14.7% 11.9% 11.1% 8.8% 6.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Noah Reischmann 13.5% 13.2% 13.7% 12.5% 10.2% 9.7% 10.7% 6.7% 7.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Toby Clarkson 13.9% 12.2% 12.0% 10.2% 11.2% 12.6% 10.4% 9.4% 5.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Kique Ruiz 5.0% 5.8% 9.3% 8.3% 8.9% 9.6% 11.2% 12.7% 13.3% 11.1% 4.4% 0.4%
Elliot Condon 5.4% 7.1% 5.9% 8.1% 9.3% 9.2% 10.2% 12.4% 13.4% 12.9% 5.3% 0.8%
Hannah Hills 3.0% 3.0% 3.3% 4.7% 5.8% 5.2% 5.5% 9.9% 14.8% 24.8% 16.0% 4.0%
Cole Amaral 17.4% 17.6% 13.5% 11.5% 12.0% 10.1% 7.8% 5.3% 3.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Dakers 10.8% 9.8% 11.0% 10.0% 9.3% 9.8% 11.2% 10.3% 9.2% 5.8% 2.6% 0.2%
Vaughn Levinsky 3.7% 4.8% 5.6% 7.8% 7.7% 8.3% 9.8% 13.0% 15.8% 16.6% 6.6% 0.3%
Charlie Conover 11.3% 12.5% 11.4% 11.0% 11.4% 11.7% 10.7% 8.8% 6.2% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Georgia Green 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 5.2% 10.7% 41.6% 30.5%
Sammy Weidenthal 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 5.7% 21.1% 63.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.