Race 4A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Noah Reischmann 13.9% 11.6% 13.0% 10.5% 13.5% 11.4% 10.2% 6.7% 5.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Cole Amaral 16.1% 17.4% 13.8% 12.2% 11.7% 10.7% 7.4% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Riley Donahue 15.3% 14.4% 13.4% 11.0% 12.4% 11.8% 8.4% 6.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Kique Ruiz 5.4% 6.3% 7.2% 9.6% 9.0% 9.5% 11.2% 13.5% 11.3% 11.8% 4.6% 0.6%
Charlie Conover 10.9% 12.1% 11.5% 12.0% 9.8% 10.4% 11.0% 9.0% 7.1% 4.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Elliot Condon 6.4% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 7.9% 9.6% 10.6% 13.1% 15.1% 13.0% 4.4% 0.6%
Christopher Dakers 10.3% 9.5% 10.6% 11.7% 9.9% 9.6% 10.6% 11.0% 9.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Georgia Green 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 6.1% 11.6% 37.9% 29.9%
Toby Clarkson 11.9% 14.8% 13.5% 13.7% 11.3% 9.5% 9.8% 7.4% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Vaughn Levinsky 5.9% 4.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.5% 7.4% 10.8% 11.5% 16.5% 15.7% 7.8% 1.3%
Hannah Hills 2.8% 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 5.7% 6.2% 5.7% 9.9% 13.9% 24.1% 18.1% 4.4%
Sammy Weidenthal 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 3.4% 4.6% 22.2% 62.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.