Race 5A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Noah Reischmann 13.4% 13.6% 11.6% 12.3% 12.7% 10.5% 9.2% 7.5% 5.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Christopher Dakers 8.4% 10.9% 9.2% 12.2% 10.1% 11.6% 9.6% 10.7% 9.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Riley Donahue 14.5% 13.4% 14.7% 11.5% 13.2% 10.4% 8.8% 7.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Cole Amaral 16.5% 18.3% 14.9% 12.3% 11.4% 7.2% 8.5% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Kique Ruiz 6.0% 7.6% 7.2% 8.5% 9.1% 10.3% 8.6% 12.7% 12.5% 11.6% 5.0% 0.9%
Charlie Conover 11.9% 10.5% 12.3% 10.5% 10.5% 11.3% 12.2% 8.4% 7.2% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Georgia Green 1.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 3.8% 5.8% 10.3% 39.2% 30.1%
Sammy Weidenthal 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 7.5% 20.7% 61.1%
Vaughn Levinsky 4.1% 4.1% 6.8% 6.6% 7.7% 8.3% 11.1% 11.9% 16.2% 14.2% 7.1% 1.9%
Hannah Hills 3.9% 3.2% 3.6% 3.5% 5.1% 5.7% 6.8% 10.1% 12.7% 24.4% 17.0% 4.0%
Elliot Condon 5.4% 5.8% 6.4% 7.7% 7.6% 10.0% 10.2% 12.4% 14.1% 13.4% 5.8% 1.2%
Toby Clarkson 14.0% 11.6% 12.1% 12.6% 9.4% 11.9% 10.8% 7.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.