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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.28+4.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.21+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.80+3.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.29+1.17vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University-0.06+4.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.17-0.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.97-0.90vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.16+0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.29-3.92vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.15-0.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36-2.89vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.39-1.31vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.90-1.00vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.59-3.00vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.77-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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5.17Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.1Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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5.08Boston College1.290.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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12.0Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.0Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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11.43Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Walter McFarland | 10.9% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hayden McCready | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 10.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Jake Homberger | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Welsh | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| William Gear | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.9% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 28.9% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 15.0% |
| Emilia Perriera | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.