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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.97+4.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.21+2.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.29+1.65vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University-0.06+4.67vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.17+0.06vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.39+2.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.28-3.32vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.16-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.80-3.88vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.90+0.09vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.15-3.04vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.77-2.46vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.59-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.72Tufts University1.210.2%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.06Roger Williams University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.68Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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11.09Harvard University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.54Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Diemar | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Walter McFarland | 15.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hayden McCready | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Ludwik Grzelak | 10.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| William Gear | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 14.6% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 5.6% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Pierson Falk | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| James Bergstrom | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 29.3% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 22.1% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.