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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.97+4.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.42+2.29vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.59+3.49vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.11-1.07vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.41-0.51vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.22+3.11vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.67+3.25vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.83+2.84vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.86-3.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.37-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.02-3.51vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.52-2.85vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.40-4.22vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79-2.04vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-1.24-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.29Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University0.590.1%1st Place
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2.93Boston College2.110.3%1st Place
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4.49Roger Williams University1.410.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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10.84Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.75Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University0.370.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island-0.020.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.72Harvard University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Baker | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Leila Pfrang | 14.0% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Hanson | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tor Svendsen | 29.4% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Morris | 15.0% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Stevens | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Ade Larsen | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Zachary Fournier | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.2% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gaillard | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Sheedy | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Anders | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Jack Whitman | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 43.3% |
| Grace Naylor | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 21.5% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.