Race 13A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sydney Bolger 34.1% 21.5% 19.9% 10.1% 7.5% 3.6% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Hall 15.7% 15.9% 17.3% 12.2% 14.3% 8.6% 7.3% 3.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kayla McComb 10.8% 14.8% 12.7% 15.4% 12.0% 13.4% 7.7% 6.7% 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Chantal Hearst 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 4.9% 7.2% 8.8% 14.4% 21.7% 30.0%
Julia Paxton 5.6% 5.8% 8.0% 9.3% 7.8% 9.3% 11.6% 11.2% 12.7% 9.4% 5.2% 3.5% 0.6%
Mackenzie Needham 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 6.7% 8.6% 9.6% 11.1% 16.2% 13.9% 10.9% 4.8%
Mia Cooper 4.7% 2.7% 3.4% 6.3% 6.5% 7.1% 8.3% 11.4% 11.5% 13.2% 15.3% 6.9% 2.7%
Arielle DeLisser 6.6% 9.1% 8.4% 9.4% 11.4% 11.5% 13.0% 10.3% 9.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Corina Radtke 6.3% 7.6% 8.7% 9.1% 10.5% 11.7% 11.6% 10.8% 9.4% 7.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Melissa Bermudez 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 4.6% 6.1% 7.6% 8.5% 11.6% 12.6% 14.2% 11.8% 8.5% 4.0%
Lucy Cobbs 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 2.8% 2.7% 3.5% 5.0% 7.0% 8.7% 16.4% 20.4% 29.8%
Noel Ingalls 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 5.4% 7.5% 9.7% 12.0% 25.1% 27.2%
Lauren Turner 8.9% 12.8% 10.4% 14.5% 12.5% 11.9% 11.4% 8.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.