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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.42+2.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.86+2.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.02+4.55vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.41-0.25vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.37+1.57vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.97-1.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.22+0.87vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-1.24+1.77vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.59-4.10vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.67-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.52-2.90vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.40-4.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.83-4.20vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Brown University1.420.2%1st Place
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4.89Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.75Roger Williams University1.410.2%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.88Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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10.77Harvard University-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University0.590.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.8Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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12.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Pfrang | 19.9% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Sheedy | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Gavin Morris | 19.2% | 20.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gaillard | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| William Baker | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Stevens | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Grace Naylor | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 23.2% |
| Max Hanson | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ade Larsen | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 7.1% |
| Jacob Anders | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Zachary Fournier | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 10.4% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.