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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.37+5.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.86+2.93vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.41+0.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.42-0.28vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.97-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island-0.02+1.70vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University-0.40+1.45vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-1.24+2.75vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.59-4.12vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.83-1.01vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.52-2.88vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.67-3.58vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.22-5.92vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.79-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Roger Williams University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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3.67Roger Williams University1.410.2%1st Place
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3.72Brown University1.420.2%1st Place
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4.91Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.45Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.75Harvard University-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University0.590.1%1st Place
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9.99Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.08Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Gaillard | 6.9% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Morris | 21.1% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leila Pfrang | 19.6% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 9.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Sheedy | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Grace Naylor | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 22.1% |
| Max Hanson | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Fournier | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 10.7% |
| Jacob Anders | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 5.6% |
| Ade Larsen | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.8% |
| Harrison Stevens | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Riley McKnight | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 17.1% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.