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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.61+6.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+3.38vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.94+3.74vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.28-0.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+2.86vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.49+1.91vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.31-1.39vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.62-3.21vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.17+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.51-4.89vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.15-1.52vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.75-0.96vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.08-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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6.74Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.32College of Charleston2.280.3%1st Place
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7.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.91Eckerd College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.61North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.79Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.72Rollins College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.11University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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9.48Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.04The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.39Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Henry Haddon | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Dillon Garcia | 25.8% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Langdon Wallace | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Peter Miller | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Cole Schweda | 11.6% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Adderley | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 20.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 15.7% |
| Camden Hom | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 20.1% | 44.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.