← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dillon Garcia 24.4% 21.1% 15.1% 12.6% 9.6% 7.3% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry Haddon 9.8% 11.4% 10.4% 10.8% 11.4% 11.1% 10.3% 7.8% 7.3% 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.6%
Tyler Brown 3.8% 3.5% 5.5% 7.6% 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 9.4% 10.7% 11.8% 11.2% 8.3% 4.5%
Cole Schweda 12.5% 12.6% 13.5% 12.4% 10.1% 10.3% 8.7% 7.4% 5.2% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Benjamin Usher 10.5% 9.7% 10.3% 10.7% 8.7% 11.1% 9.9% 9.0% 8.9% 4.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.5%
Zachariah Schemel 11.6% 13.6% 12.0% 10.3% 12.5% 9.3% 8.3% 7.7% 5.5% 5.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Peter Miller 5.0% 4.6% 5.8% 5.9% 6.4% 5.9% 7.5% 9.0% 10.7% 11.2% 13.3% 10.0% 4.7%
Langdon Wallace 4.1% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 6.1% 8.8% 10.2% 11.4% 11.1% 12.4% 9.9% 4.8%
Mitchell Hnatt 5.9% 6.2% 7.2% 7.8% 9.5% 8.3% 10.9% 10.2% 11.1% 9.1% 6.8% 4.7% 2.3%
Joshua Bendura 8.2% 7.5% 8.8% 8.0% 11.2% 10.3% 8.8% 8.5% 9.0% 8.5% 6.2% 3.1% 1.9%
Camden Hom 1.3% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 7.4% 11.1% 18.6% 39.5%
Jack Adderley 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.0% 4.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.5% 10.0% 14.8% 20.5% 19.9%
Advik Eswaran 1.5% 1.5% 3.0% 3.4% 2.6% 5.2% 4.4% 7.7% 7.0% 9.4% 13.3% 20.1% 20.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.