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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.28+2.34vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.42+3.34vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.61+4.72vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62+0.83vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.51-0.99vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.49+0.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.10vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.94-2.22vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.08-3.75vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-0.75-0.17vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.17-2.20vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.15-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34College of Charleston2.280.2%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.420.1%1st Place
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7.72Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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4.83Jacksonville University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.01University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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7.83Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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6.78Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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6.25Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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10.83The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.8Rollins College-0.170.0%1st Place
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9.8Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 24.4% | 21.1% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Usher | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Miller | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Langdon Wallace | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Camden Hom | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 39.5% |
| Jack Adderley | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| Advik Eswaran | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.