Race 3A

charleston-fall-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dillon Garcia 23.5% 20.3% 17.4% 11.8% 11.0% 6.9% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Langdon Wallace 4.1% 4.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.0% 7.3% 7.5% 10.5% 10.9% 11.4% 12.8% 11.1% 4.6%
Tyler Brown 4.1% 3.9% 4.8% 7.8% 6.7% 8.5% 8.0% 9.3% 11.2% 13.1% 9.6% 9.6% 3.4%
Benjamin Usher 9.8% 8.8% 9.0% 12.7% 9.8% 9.5% 9.9% 8.2% 9.4% 6.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Zachariah Schemel 12.1% 12.0% 11.5% 11.5% 10.6% 10.6% 10.2% 7.6% 5.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Joshua Bendura 7.9% 7.8% 8.7% 9.0% 9.9% 9.8% 10.3% 8.9% 8.2% 8.4% 6.3% 4.0% 0.8%
Cole Schweda 13.0% 14.4% 11.2% 11.0% 13.3% 9.8% 8.1% 6.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3%
Peter Miller 3.8% 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 6.1% 7.0% 8.4% 10.8% 10.0% 12.2% 11.3% 10.7% 4.3%
Henry Haddon 9.7% 10.8% 12.1% 9.7% 10.8% 11.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.8% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.5%
Advik Eswaran 2.7% 2.3% 2.4% 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 5.9% 6.5% 7.3% 10.6% 13.2% 19.9% 18.8%
Mitchell Hnatt 6.5% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 9.7% 9.7% 10.9% 9.4% 7.5% 7.9% 3.6% 1.8%
Camden Hom 1.0% 0.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 4.3% 3.4% 4.9% 6.5% 10.9% 16.7% 44.6%
Jack Adderley 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 2.4% 3.6% 3.5% 5.6% 6.4% 7.6% 9.7% 15.3% 19.6% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.