Race 4A

charleston-fall-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Tyler Brown 4.3% 4.1% 5.1% 7.0% 8.4% 8.2% 7.0% 10.0% 11.6% 11.5% 10.8% 7.7% 4.3%
Langdon Wallace 3.6% 4.6% 4.5% 6.1% 6.5% 6.4% 8.1% 9.9% 11.6% 11.9% 11.3% 11.3% 4.2%
Dillon Garcia 23.8% 20.4% 14.4% 14.2% 10.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Schweda 12.3% 13.3% 13.6% 10.1% 11.4% 10.2% 9.6% 7.5% 5.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Zachariah Schemel 11.9% 12.6% 12.0% 11.7% 10.0% 10.4% 9.4% 7.8% 6.3% 3.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Henry Haddon 10.7% 10.5% 10.7% 12.9% 10.5% 10.7% 8.9% 7.9% 6.2% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Mitchell Hnatt 8.2% 5.7% 8.2% 8.3% 7.1% 10.1% 9.9% 9.1% 10.6% 8.6% 7.9% 4.7% 1.6%
Benjamin Usher 9.2% 9.8% 11.3% 9.2% 9.6% 11.2% 10.0% 9.6% 7.8% 5.3% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
Peter Miller 4.4% 4.1% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 6.2% 8.4% 8.3% 12.0% 13.1% 11.2% 10.9% 5.5%
Jack Adderley 2.7% 2.3% 2.2% 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 4.8% 6.3% 6.5% 11.4% 14.3% 19.2% 19.2%
Joshua Bendura 6.3% 9.5% 9.5% 8.3% 10.5% 10.1% 10.5% 10.2% 7.6% 7.9% 5.9% 2.6% 1.1%
Camden Hom 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 3.6% 4.2% 7.4% 10.3% 17.9% 43.8%
Advik Eswaran 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 5.5% 6.5% 8.8% 9.0% 16.0% 20.2% 18.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.