Race 5A

charleston-fall-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cole Schweda 13.1% 12.2% 11.3% 12.3% 10.0% 10.8% 10.9% 7.1% 5.2% 3.6% 2.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Dillon Garcia 25.4% 19.6% 15.5% 13.7% 8.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Langdon Wallace 3.1% 3.7% 4.1% 5.9% 6.4% 8.6% 6.9% 9.4% 11.0% 11.5% 12.6% 10.6% 6.2%
Mitchell Hnatt 5.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.6% 8.4% 8.4% 9.5% 10.4% 10.8% 8.9% 8.3% 5.7% 1.8%
Peter Miller 4.3% 4.2% 4.9% 6.1% 6.9% 7.1% 6.6% 9.1% 10.6% 12.0% 12.8% 9.3% 6.1%
Henry Haddon 10.7% 11.1% 11.5% 9.0% 11.6% 9.0% 10.0% 9.0% 6.5% 6.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.5%
Caleb Kinnear 4.4% 3.7% 4.9% 4.7% 6.0% 5.8% 6.1% 8.1% 8.6% 11.3% 12.4% 14.4% 9.6%
Zachariah Schemel 11.2% 11.4% 10.8% 13.7% 8.9% 10.5% 11.1% 7.7% 6.2% 3.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Advik Eswaran 1.6% 3.5% 2.4% 3.0% 3.6% 3.4% 3.9% 6.4% 7.7% 9.3% 12.4% 21.9% 20.9%
Benjamin Usher 10.2% 8.8% 11.0% 8.4% 11.3% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 7.7% 7.2% 3.9% 3.4% 0.8%
Joshua Bendura 6.3% 8.5% 9.9% 8.2% 9.5% 10.0% 11.5% 9.3% 9.0% 7.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.8%
Tyler Brown 3.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 7.0% 8.0% 7.3% 8.1% 11.3% 10.4% 14.2% 9.8% 4.8%
Camden Hom 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 4.1% 6.9% 9.1% 17.5% 47.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.